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The decision desk

A deeper toolkit that ranks opportunities and builds trade plans. If it feels like a lot, start with the Basic dashboard instead.

Analyze

Decision Support

Ranked0
Trade Tickets0
Events17

Institutional analytics

Research analytics, non-executing by design

Decision-support analytics are educational research tools; live values render only from verified, versioned datasets.

Portfolio risk

Exposure, leverage, concentration, and drawdown analytics are built on versioned market data. Values appear only when they trace to a trusted dataset — nothing is estimated for display.

Factors and scenarios

Factor exposures and stress scenarios are computed only where a measured data source exists, and every shock definition is stated explicitly.

Execution quality

Spread, slippage, and other cost analytics stay educational until measured cost evidence passes deterministic checks.

Every displayed value must trace to a versioned market-data source. Sizing and setup content stays educational and non-executing; this platform never places trades.

Market backdrop

Markets are calm right now — credit, volatility, and stress gauges all sit in their normal-to-low range.

This describes the overall market mood, not a buy or sell call.

Macro Regime

calm

Markets are calm right now — credit, volatility, and stress gauges all sit in their normal-to-low range.

Yield curveupward
upward, steepening · spread 0.51%10y minus 2y Treasury; inversion is a classic recession flagas of 20260814
Credit spreadscalm
10.7th percentile · 2.71high-yield spread percentile; wide = stressas of 20260813
Equity volatilitynormal
29.4th percentile · 14.63VIX percentile vs its own historyas of 20260813
Financial stresscalm
24.2th percentile · -2.74OFR Financial Stress Index percentileas of 20260812

Composite rule: credit=calm, vix=normal, fsi=calm · 4/4 components available.

curve: US Treasury daily yield curve (2Y, 10Y nominal)

credit: ICE BofA US High Yield OAS (BAMLH0A0HYM2, FRED gateway)

vix: CBOE VIX close (VIXCLS, FRED gateway)

fsi: OFR Financial Stress Index

fundingStress: OFR Financial Stress Index — Funding subindex (funding-liquidity stress; successor to the TED spread, which ended 2022-01-21 with LIBOR)

Market-state context, not a trade signal or price prediction.

Factor Scoreboard · pre-registered universes (prereg-2026-07-18)

Weekly equity factor ranks & sector rotation

As of 2026-08-14

No 4-week relative-strength rotation stands out this week.

QuintileSymbols (composite rank)12-1 momentumVol percentile
Top (Q1)
Bottom (Q5)

Measurement: collecting — 27 of 100 top-quintile records evaluated. 5d spread -3.781% · 20d spread n/a.

Factor ranks are descriptive cross-sectional statistics, not recommendations. Published factor premia decay after publication (McLean & Pontiff); whether these ranks order forward returns here is an open, pre-registered measurement — not a promise.

Phase 1 · Live

Decision Scanner

These tools are active now

This phase answers the first trading question: which market is worth attention right now, which strategy fits it, and whether it deserves a trade ticket.

Scanner

Market Opportunity Scanner

0 ranked
MarketTrendVolatilityStrategiesReadinessStatus

No market clears the direction, evidence, and risk gates right now. Qualified markets appear here ranked by readiness — run a fresh scan from the dashboard or check back after the next agent pass.

Tickets

Research Hypotheses: Observation, Invalidation, Scenarios

No research hypotheses yet. When a ranked market reaches “Trade setup” with a full observation zone, invalidation level, and scenario levels, its hypothesis card appears here.

Strategies

Performance Comparison

Trend-Momentum ContinuationRetired directional baseline
Evidence cohort: Trend-Momentum Continuation; N=0; Wilson interval=collecting; horizon=not fixed; model=phase5-collecting; state=collecting.Negative out of sampleNot eligible

Directional strength remains descriptive only.

Squeeze Breakout ConfirmationResearch hypothesis
Evidence cohort: Squeeze Breakout Confirmation; N=0; Wilson interval=collecting; horizon=not fixed; model=phase5-collecting; state=collecting.Not established after costsUnknown

Needs holdout and forward-paper qualification.

FX Mean ReversionExploratory daily FX research
Evidence cohort: FX Mean Reversion; N=0; Wilson interval=collecting; horizon=not fixed; model=phase5-collecting; state=collecting.Positive gross lead onlyCarry and costs missing

Not actionable until net holdout and paper gates pass.

Pattern Breakout With Trend FilterResearch hypothesis
Evidence cohort: Pattern Breakout With Trend Filter; N=0; Wilson interval=collecting; horizon=not fixed; model=phase5-collecting; state=collecting.Not established after costsUnknown

Needs holdout and forward-paper qualification.

Phase 2 · Live

News And Timing Risk

Trade timing checks

This phase checks whether a good setup should be traded now or delayed because of event risk, session timing, or likely spread expansion.

Calendar

Event Risk Windows

13:30 UTC · highUS labor market revision
DXY, XAUUSD, USDJPYAvoid fresh entries until volatility normalizes.
14:30 UTC · mediumEIA crude inventory report
USOIL, USDCADReduce size or require stronger confirmation.
16:00 UTC · mediumECB speaker window
EURUSD, GBPUSDReduce size or require stronger confirmation.
20:00 UTC · mediumStablecoin supply and ETF flow check
BTCUSD, ETHUSD, SOLUSDReduce size or require stronger confirmation.
All session · mediumReal-yield and volatility regime monitor
QQQ, NVDA, BTCUSDReduce size or require stronger confirmation.
2026-08-14T23:17:00+00:00 · lowTrump-appointed regulator OKs banking license for Trump-linked crypto firm - Politico
BTCUSDTrade normally if the setup remains valid.
Sessions

Market Hours Context

Tokyo7 PM-4 AM ETJPY, AUD, NZDAsia liquidity
London3 AM-12 PM ETEUR, GBP, USDHighest FX participation
New York8 AM-5 PM ETUSD, CAD, indicesMacro and stock flow
London/New York overlap8 AM-12 PM ETMajorsBest liquidity, more event risk

Phase 3 · Live

Portfolio Exposure

Duplicate-risk checks

This phase checks whether multiple setups are really the same trade expressed through different markets, so sizing can be reduced before risk stacks up.

Exposure

Concentration Watch

USD exposure0 setupsNo major concentration in the top list.
Crypto beta0 setupsCrypto exposure is contained.
Macro hedge0 marketsCompare gold, oil, and index signals before adding directional FX risk.
Conflict load0 warningsTop ideas have clean cross-market agreement.
Clusters

Correlation Groups

USD-linked FX0 setups
No active top-ranked setups

No concentration warning from the current opportunity list.

Crypto beta0 setups
No active top-ranked setups

No concentration warning from the current opportunity list.

Equity beta0 setups
No active top-ranked setups

No concentration warning from the current opportunity list.

Macro hedges0 setups
No active top-ranked setups

No concentration warning from the current opportunity list.

Phase 4 · Blocked

Execution Readiness

Waiting on broker data

This phase turns a candidate into a safer actionable setup by checking cost, liquidity, sizing, and whether the trade should be reduced or delayed.

Execution

Readiness Checklist

0 tickets checked

Nothing to check yet — execution readiness runs on active research hypotheses, and there are none right now. This phase also stays blocked until executable bid/ask, spread percentile, and margin data are connected.