crypto

BTC/USD

Bitcoin is supported by risk appetite, stablecoin liquidity, and positive ETF/fund-flow assumptions.

Price104677.99

Biasbullish

Confidence71%

Price Structure

macro-liquidity risk-on

Consensus

Final confidence71%

Agreement62%

Dependency matrix now contributes an explicit confidence adjustment instead of treating the market in isolation.

Scenario Map

71%ContinuationPrice respects the current regime and dependency confirmation remains intact.

29%InvalidationSustained close below first support.

Dependency Analysis

Cross-market inputs are mixed for BTC/USD; confidence remains near the base agent view.

Confirmation34%

Conflict36%

inverseDXY

conflicting

Weight75%

inverseREALYIELDS

conflicting

Weight70%

directQQQ

confirming

Weight65%

directSTABLECOIN_SUPPLY

confirming

Weight70%

Agent outputs

Explainable Agent Cards

Technical agent

72%

BTC/USD technical structure is bullish inside a macro-liquidity risk-on regime.

Score74%

Support104049.92 / 103737.77

Resistance105306.06 / 105727.28

Invalidation: 1H close below 104049.92

News / sentiment agent

64%

BTC/USD is scored through BTC beta, macro liquidity, stablecoin liquidity, relative rotation, and leverage risk.

Score61%

Regime / correlation agent

70%

Current regime is classified as macro-liquidity risk-on; relationship stability is acceptable but monitored.

Score69%

Risk agent

62%

Position sizing should be reduced until event and volatility risk normalizes.

Score58%