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energy

WTI crude oil

WTI is slipping as dollar strength and growth concern outweigh supply risk.

Price74.80
Biasbearish
Confidence72%

Price Structure

growth-sensitive downtrend

Consensus

Final confidence72%
Agreement73%

Dependency matrix now contributes an explicit confidence adjustment instead of treating the market in isolation.

Scenario Map

72%ContinuationPrice respects the current regime and dependency confirmation remains intact.
28%InvalidationSustained close above first resistance.

Dependency Analysis

DXY, RISK confirm the bearish WTI crude oil view in the current regime.

Confirmation39%
Conflict0%
inverseDXY

confirming

Weight75%
directRISK

confirming

Weight80%
event-sensitiveSUPPLY_SHOCK

neutral

Weight100%
event-sensitiveGEOPOLITICAL_SCORE

neutral

Weight85%

Agent outputs

Explainable Agent Cards

Technical agent

66%

WTI crude oil technical structure is bearish inside a growth-sensitive downtrend regime.

Score40%
Support74.35 / 74.13
Resistance75.25 / 75.55
Invalidation: 1H close above 75.25

News / sentiment agent

58%

Supply risk is present, but growth and dollar conditions are weighing on crude.

Score41%

Regime / correlation agent

64%

Current regime is classified as growth-sensitive downtrend; relationship stability is acceptable but monitored.

Score68%

Risk agent

62%

Position sizing should be reduced until event and volatility risk normalizes.

Score58%