crypto

ETH/USD

Ethereum has positive BTC beta but mixed relative confirmation from ETH/BTC and network fee capture.

Price3891.34

Biasneutral

Confidence60%

Price Structure

smart-contract rotation watch

Consensus

Final confidence60%

Agreement52%

Dependency matrix now contributes an explicit confidence adjustment instead of treating the market in isolation.

Scenario Map

60%ContinuationPrice respects the current regime and dependency confirmation remains intact.

40%InvalidationSustained close below first support.

Dependency Analysis

Cross-market inputs are mixed for ETH/USD; confidence remains near the base agent view.

Confirmation0%

Conflict0%

directBTCUSD

neutral

Weight80%

directETHBTC

neutral

Weight90%

directETH_TVL

neutral

Weight75%

directSTAKING_SPREAD

neutral

Weight55%

Agent outputs

Explainable Agent Cards

Technical agent

55%

ETH/USD technical structure is neutral inside a smart-contract rotation watch regime.

Score56%

Support3867.99 / 3856.39

Resistance3914.69 / 3930.35

Invalidation: 1H close below 3867.99

News / sentiment agent

52%

ETH/USD is scored through BTC beta, macro liquidity, stablecoin liquidity, relative rotation, and leverage risk.

Score59%

Regime / correlation agent

58%

Current regime is classified as smart-contract rotation watch; relationship stability is acceptable but monitored.

Score67%

Risk agent

62%

Position sizing should be reduced until event and volatility risk normalizes.

Score58%